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	<updated>2026-07-02T01:33:57Z</updated>
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	<entry>
		<id>https://externalhazards.epri.com/index.php?title=Methods_and_Tools&amp;diff=131&amp;oldid=prev</id>
		<title>Admin at 18:31, 18 June 2026</title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://externalhazards.epri.com/index.php?title=Methods_and_Tools&amp;diff=131&amp;oldid=prev"/>
		<updated>2026-06-18T18:31:14Z</updated>

		<summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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				&lt;td colspan=&quot;2&quot; style=&quot;background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;← Older revision&lt;/td&gt;
				&lt;td colspan=&quot;2&quot; style=&quot;background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Revision as of 18:31, 18 June 2026&lt;/td&gt;
				&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan=&quot;2&quot; class=&quot;diff-lineno&quot; id=&quot;mw-diff-left-l8&quot;&gt;Line 8:&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td colspan=&quot;2&quot; class=&quot;diff-lineno&quot;&gt;Line 8:&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;status: published&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;status: published&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;summary: Landing page cataloging the analytical methods, tools, and field processes used in external hazard assessment for nuclear power plants.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;summary: Landing page cataloging the analytical methods, tools, and field processes used in external hazard assessment for nuclear power plants.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
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&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;&amp;lt;span style=&amp;quot;background:#5A9E6F; color:#FFF; padding:3px 14px; border-radius:12px; font-size:80%; font-weight:bold; letter-spacing:1px;&amp;quot;&amp;gt;METHODS &amp;amp; TOOLS&amp;lt;/span&amp;gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;diff-marker&quot;&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;&quot;&gt;&lt;div&gt;&amp;lt;span style=&amp;quot;background:#5A9E6F; color:#FFF; padding:3px 14px; border-radius:12px; font-size:80%; font-weight:bold; letter-spacing:1px;&amp;quot;&amp;gt;METHODS &amp;amp; TOOLS&amp;lt;/span&amp;gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
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&lt;/table&gt;</summary>
		<author><name>Admin</name></author>
	</entry>
	<entry>
		<id>https://externalhazards.epri.com/index.php?title=Methods_and_Tools&amp;diff=118&amp;oldid=prev</id>
		<title>Admin: 1 revision imported</title>
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		<updated>2026-06-09T22:29:37Z</updated>

		<summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;1 revision imported&lt;/p&gt;
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				&lt;td colspan=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Revision as of 22:29, 9 June 2026&lt;/td&gt;
				&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan=&quot;2&quot; class=&quot;diff-notice&quot; lang=&quot;en&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;mw-diff-empty&quot;&gt;(No difference)&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/table&gt;</summary>
		<author><name>Admin</name></author>
	</entry>
	<entry>
		<id>https://externalhazards.epri.com/index.php?title=Methods_and_Tools&amp;diff=117&amp;oldid=prev</id>
		<title>10.1.236.167 at 15:54, 2 June 2026</title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://externalhazards.epri.com/index.php?title=Methods_and_Tools&amp;diff=117&amp;oldid=prev"/>
		<updated>2026-06-02T15:54:04Z</updated>

		<summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;New page&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div&gt;&amp;lt;!-- PAGE METADATA&lt;br /&gt;
page_type: landing_page&lt;br /&gt;
page_id: METHODS_TOOLS_LANDING&lt;br /&gt;
canonical_hazard_id: N/A&lt;br /&gt;
related_hazard_ids: N/A&lt;br /&gt;
authoritative: true&lt;br /&gt;
revision_date: 2026-05-04&lt;br /&gt;
status: published&lt;br /&gt;
summary: Landing page cataloging the analytical methods, tools, and field processes used in external hazard assessment for nuclear power plants.&lt;br /&gt;
--&amp;gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;lt;div style=&amp;quot;border-left: 4px solid #5A9E6F; padding-left: 16px;&amp;quot;&amp;gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;lt;span style=&amp;quot;background:#5A9E6F; color:#FFF; padding:3px 14px; border-radius:12px; font-size:80%; font-weight:bold; letter-spacing:1px;&amp;quot;&amp;gt;METHODS &amp;amp; TOOLS&amp;lt;/span&amp;gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Methods and Tools for External Hazard Assessment&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The [[Hazards|Hazards catalog]] describes &amp;#039;&amp;#039;what&amp;#039;&amp;#039; can threaten a plant; this section describes &amp;#039;&amp;#039;how&amp;#039;&amp;#039; those threats are evaluated — from initial screening through probabilistic quantification and programmatic integration.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
This page catalogs selected analytical methods, software tools, and field processes used across external hazard assessments at nuclear power plants. This is &amp;#039;&amp;#039;not&amp;#039;&amp;#039; an exhaustive set of methods and tools. Individual method/tool/process pages provide detailed descriptions, workflow diagrams, and key references; links are provided where such pages are available.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Methods and Tools: from Screening to Integration ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A typical external hazard assessment moves through several functional stages. The methods and tools cataloged here map onto those stages, and most assessments will use a combination of them.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
{| class=&amp;quot;wikitable&amp;quot;&lt;br /&gt;
! style=&amp;quot;background:#D6E4F0; color:#2C5F7C;&amp;quot; | Functional Stage&lt;br /&gt;
! style=&amp;quot;background:#D6E4F0; color:#2C5F7C;&amp;quot; | What Happens&lt;br /&gt;
! style=&amp;quot;background:#D6E4F0; color:#2C5F7C;&amp;quot; | Representative Methods / Tools&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;[[Methods/Screening and Prioritization|Screening &amp;amp; Prioritization]]&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Identify which external hazards are credible for a given site and warrant detailed analysis using qualitative and quantitative screening criteria || EPRI screening guidance ([https://www.epri.com/research/products/000000003002005287 3002005287])&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Walkdowns &amp;amp; Field Verification&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Physically inspect the plant to identify vulnerable structures, systems, and components (SSCs), confirm as‑built configurations, and verify conditions assumed in the analysis || Hazard‑specific field inspections and surveys (for example, high winds vulnerable‑SSC walkdowns and missile surveys per [https://www.epri.com/research/products/000000003002008092 3002008092])&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;[[Methods/Deterministic Approaches|Deterministic Approaches]]&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Evaluate whether hazard effects are bounded by design‑basis protections or can be resolved without full probabilistic analysis || Design‑basis evaluation; [[Methods/Tornado Missile Risk Evaluator|TMRE]]; ASCE 7‑22 wind‑load provisions&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;[[Methods/Probabilistic Risk Assessment|Probabilistic Risk Assessment]]&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Quantify hazard frequency, SSC fragility, and plant response to estimate risk metrics (core damage frequency (CDF), large early release frequency (LERF)) || External events PRA (HWPRA, XFPRA, SPRA)&amp;lt;br&amp;gt;Typically comprised of event‑tree and/or fault‑tree models&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Fragility Analysis&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Develop conditional failure probabilities for SSCs as a function of hazard intensity || Empirical fragility functions; impact testing correlations&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Software &amp;amp; Calculation Tools&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Compute hazard‑specific parameters — missile strike probability, flood annual exceedance probability, geomagnetically induced current (GIC) levels, and so forth || [[Methods/Tornado Missile Strike Calculator|TMSC]], [[Methods/Tornado Missile Risk Evaluator|TMRE]], TORMIS, [[Methods/PFHA Tools|PFHA models]], [[Methods/Joint Probability Method|JPM]]&lt;br /&gt;
|-&lt;br /&gt;
| &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Program Integration&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; || Fold hazard results into plant risk models, licensing decisions, and operational programs || [[Methods/Climate Vulnerability Assessment|climate vulnerability assessment (CVA)]]&lt;br /&gt;
|}&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Pages in This Section ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
;Assessment Process&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Screening and Prioritization|Screening and Prioritization]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Walkdowns and Field Verification|Walkdowns and Field Verification]]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
;Analytical Methods&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Deterministic Approaches|Deterministic Approaches]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Probabilistic Risk Assessment|Probabilistic Risk Assessment]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Beyond Design Basis|Beyond Design Basis]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Climate Vulnerability Assessment|Climate Vulnerability Assessment (CVA)]]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
;Tools and Platforms&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Tornado Missile Risk Evaluator|Tornado Missile Risk Evaluator (TMRE)]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Tornado Missile Strike Calculator|Tornado Missile Strike Calculator (TMSC)]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/PFHA Tools|PFHA Tools (SEFM / RORB_MC)]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/Joint Probability Method|Joint Probability Method (JPM)]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Methods/CHIP Climate Projections|CHIP Climate Projections]]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;lt;/div&amp;gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
----&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;#039;&amp;#039;EPRI technical point of contact: Chris Rochon ([mailto:CRochon@epri.com CRochon@epri.com])&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Date last reviewed: 2026-05-20&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;lt;!-- CONTENT GAPS — Updated 2026-03-22.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1. CVA PAGE BUILT: &amp;quot;Climate Vulnerability Assessment&amp;quot; page created at&lt;br /&gt;
   Methods/Climate_Vulnerability_Assessment.wiki (page_id: METHOD_CVA).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2. CHIP PAGE BUILT: &amp;quot;CHIP Climate Projections&amp;quot; page created at&lt;br /&gt;
   Methods/CHIP_Climate_Projections.wiki (page_id: TOOL_CHIP).&lt;br /&gt;
--&amp;gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;lt;!-- V1.0 PLACEHOLDERS — Reviewed summary text for placeholder export.&lt;br /&gt;
Do not modify without updating the corresponding subpage content.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Deterministic_Approaches&lt;br /&gt;
Deterministic approaches are a family of analytical strategies that evaluate whether a nuclear power plant&amp;#039;s design and protection features are adequate for a specified external hazard without explicitly expressing a distribution of failure probabilities. The analyst compares hazard loads against design-basis capacities, acceptance criteria, or regulatory thresholds. If the comparison shows adequate margin, the hazard is resolved without proceeding to a full probabilistic risk assessment.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Probabilistic_Risk_Assessment&lt;br /&gt;
Probabilistic Risk Assessment for external hazards extends the plant&amp;#039;s internal-events PRA framework to account for initiating events and failure modes caused by phenomena originating outside the plant. The objective is to quantify each credible external hazard&amp;#039;s contribution to core damage frequency and large early release frequency, producing risk metrics that support risk-informed decision making, licensing, and program prioritization.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Walkdowns_and_Field_Verification&lt;br /&gt;
Plant walkdowns are physical inspections that translate analytical assumptions into verified site conditions. In external hazard assessment, walkdowns confirm which structures, systems, and components are exposed to a given hazard, characterize the hazard sources and physical layout on site, and identify conditions that may differ from design-basis assumptions. The High-Wind Equipment List procedure in EPRI 3002008092, for example, is a formalized walkdown process for high winds including the identification of potential missile populations.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Tornado_Missile_Risk_Evaluator&lt;br /&gt;
The Tornado Missile Risk Evaluator is an industry-developed methodology for evaluating the risk significance of tornado missile protection nonconformances at nuclear power plants. Established by the Nuclear Energy Institute in NEI 17-02, the methodology provides a risk-informed framework for resolving nonconforming conditions identified under NRC Enforcement Guidance Memorandum 15-002. TMRE produces Exposed Equipment Failure Probabilities.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Tornado_Missile_Strike_Calculator&lt;br /&gt;
The Tornado Missile Strike Calculator is an EPRI-developed tool that computes the conditional probability of wind-borne missile impact on structures at nuclear power plant sites. TMSC uses Monte Carlo simulation to model missile injection, flight trajectories, and target intersection for both tornado and straight-wind events. The primary output — conditional multiple missile hit probability — feeds directly into the plant response model of a high-wind probabilistic risk assessment.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/PFHA_Tools&lt;br /&gt;
The Stochastic Event Flood Model and the Stochastic Runoff Routing Monte Carlo model are stochastic event-based simulation platforms used to develop probabilistic flood hazard assessments for nuclear power plant sites. These tools move beyond the traditional Probable Maximum Flood paradigm by estimating the full probability distribution of flood levels, including the likelihood of exceeding the PMF, and explicitly characterizing aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Joint_Probability_Method&lt;br /&gt;
The Joint Probability Method is a statistical framework for estimating the annual exceedance probability of coastal flood levels — primarily storm surge — at a given location. Rather than relying on a historical record of observed surge heights, JPM builds surge-frequency relationships from the joint probability distributions of the meteorological parameters that generate surge, pairing them with hydrodynamic numerical models such as ADCIRC or SLOSH. In the U.S., JPM is the standard approach recommended by USACE and FEMA for flood-insurance studies and by the NRC for coastal-flood hazard assessment at nuclear facilities.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/Climate_Vulnerability_Assessment&lt;br /&gt;
A climate vulnerability assessment (CVA) is a programmatic framework for systematically evaluating how projected climate conditions may affect the performance, reliability, and operability of nuclear power plant structures, systems, and components. The framework considers three dimensions: the climate hazards relevant to a site, the exposure of plant SSCs to those hazards, and the vulnerability of exposed SSCs, ultimately assessing the degree to which non-stationary climate conditions could erode operating or design margins. EPRI Report 3002023814 provides the technical framework, and INPO 24-002 establishes industry expectations for performing CVAs.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
@@PLACEHOLDER: Methods/CHIP_Climate_Projections&lt;br /&gt;
The Climate Hazard Information and Projections program is an EPRI initiative that delivers site-specific climate projection data tailored to the needs of nuclear power plant assessments. CHIP reports provide projected changes in temperature, precipitation, wind, and other climate variables under multiple emission scenarios, along with return-period analysis for extreme events and historical reanalysis data as a baseline for trend assessment. CHIP serves as the primary data input for the climate vulnerability assessment process.&lt;br /&gt;
@@END&lt;br /&gt;
--&amp;gt;&lt;/div&gt;</summary>
		<author><name>10.1.236.167</name></author>
	</entry>
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